中国地区经济增长溢出效应传输渠道研究
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财经研究 2005 年 第 31 卷第 12 期, 页码：128 - 142
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章通过分析贸易、要素流动、技术扩散、制度推移等渠道对我国地区经济增长溢出效应的传输机理,认为在短期内,贸易和资本流动主要体现二三产业在地区间的关联,劳动力流动更多体现的是第一产业的地区关联。在此基础上,文章建立包括东中西三大地区和中西部三次产业产出变量的VAR模型,并根据中西部三次产业对东部和中部冲击的脉冲响应(IRF)结果,得出劳动力流动和贸易是东部向中西部传输溢出效应的主渠道,劳动力流动是中部向西部传输溢出效应的主渠道的结论。
[1]陈安平.产业结构与地区差距:中国的实证研究[J].统计研究,2003,(12):31~34.
[2]范剑勇,王立军,沈林洁.产业聚集与劳动力的跨区域流动[J].管理世界,2004,(4):22~29.
[3]李国平,陈安平.中国地区经济增长的动态关系研究[J].当代经济科学,2004,(2):1~5.
[4]李国平,范红忠.生产集中、人口分布与地区经济差异[J].经济研究,2003,(11):79~86.
[5]刘夏明,魏英琪,李国平.收敛还是发散?中国区域发展研究争论的文献综述[J].经济研究,2004,(7):70~81.
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[25]Krugman P.Geography and trade[M].MIT Press,Cambridge,1991.
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[28]Sims C A.Macroeconomics and reality[J].Econometrica,1980,48:1~48.
[29]Wu Y.China’s economic growth:A miracle with chinese Characteristics[M].Lon-don:Routledge Curzon,2004.
[30]Yao S,Z Zhang.On regional inequality and diverging clubs:A case study of contem-porary China[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2001,29:466~484.
[31]Ying L G.Measuring the spillover effects:Some Chinese evidence[J].Papers in Re-gional Science,2000,79:75~89.
[32]Zhang Q,Felmingham B.The role of FDI,exports and spillover effects in the regionaldevelopment of China[J].Journal of Develop Studies,2002,38(4):157~178.
③根据《中国统计摘要2004》第54页数据计算得到。
⑨见刘文(2004)表2和表3数据。
[2]范剑勇,王立军,沈林洁.产业聚集与劳动力的跨区域流动[J].管理世界,2004,(4):22~29.
[3]李国平,陈安平.中国地区经济增长的动态关系研究[J].当代经济科学,2004,(2):1~5.
[4]李国平,范红忠.生产集中、人口分布与地区经济差异[J].经济研究,2003,(11):79~86.
[5]刘夏明,魏英琪,李国平.收敛还是发散?中国区域发展研究争论的文献综述[J].经济研究,2004,(7):70~81.
[6]刘文.1997年以来我国农村劳动力流动趋势分析[J].南开学报(哲学社会科学),1997,(3):36~43.
[7]王小鲁,樊刚.中国地区差距的变动因素和影响因素[J].经济研究,2004,(1):33~44.
[8]王铮,刘海燕,刘丽.中国东中西部GDP溢出分析[J].经济科学,2003,(1):5~13.
[9]魏后凯.21世纪中西部工业发展战略[M].郑州:河南人民出版社,2000:211.
[10]战明华.我国产业结构的变迁与互动:特征与结构效应[J].经济科学,2004,(2):45~54.
[11]Anselin,L.Local indicators of spatial association-LISA[J].Geographical Analysis,1995,27:93~115.
[12]Barkley D,Heney M S,Bao S,Brooks K R.How functional are economic areas?[J].Papers in Regional Science,1995,74:298~316.
[13]Barro R J.Economic growth in a cross section of countries[J].Quarterly Journal of E-conomics,1991,106:407~443.
[14]Bernanke B.Alternative explanations of the money-income correlation,in“Real busi-ness cycles,real exchange rates and actual policies”[R].(K.Brunner and A.H.Meltz-er.Eds.),Carnegie-rochester Conference Series on Public Policy,1986,25:49~100.
[15]Brun J F,Combes,J L and Renard,M F.Are there spillover effects between thecoastal and noncoastal regions in China?[J].China Economic Review,2002,13:161~169.
[16]Carlino G,R DeFina.Regional income dynamics[J].Journal of Urban Economics,1995,37:88~106.
[17]Cromwell B A.Does california drive the West?An econometric investigation of region-al spillovers[J].Economic Review.Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco,1992,2:15~25.
[18]Démurger S,Sachs J D,Woo W T,Bao S.Geography,economic policy and regionaldevelopment in China[R].Paper presented at the Third International Conference on theChinese Economy“Has China become a market economy?”,CERDI,Clemont-Ferrand,France,2001,May:17~18.
[19]Douver R,Peeters M.GDP-spillovers in multi-country models[J].Economic Model-ling,1998,15:163~195.
[20]Felder G.On exports and economic growth[J].Journal of Development Economics,1982,12:59~73.
[21]Fu Xiaolan.Limited linkage from growth engines and regional disparities in China[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2004,32:148~164.
[22]Hamilton,J D.Time series analysis[M].Princeton University Press,Princeton,1994.
[23]Huang Yasheng.The benefits of FDI in a transitional economy:The case of China[R].In:OECD Global Forum on International Investment,Mexico,2000.
[24]Knight J,Song L.Chinese rural migrants in urban enterprises:Three perspectives[J].Journal of Development Studies,1999,35(3):73~104.
[25]Krugman P.Geography and trade[M].MIT Press,Cambridge,1991.
[26]Krugman P.Increasing returns and economic geography[J].Journal of Political Econo-my,1991,99:183~199.
[27]Kouparitsas M A.Understanding US regional cyclical comovement:How importantare spillovers and common shocks[J].Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Economic Per-spectives,2002,4th quarter:30~41.
[28]Sims C A.Macroeconomics and reality[J].Econometrica,1980,48:1~48.
[29]Wu Y.China’s economic growth:A miracle with chinese Characteristics[M].Lon-don:Routledge Curzon,2004.
[30]Yao S,Z Zhang.On regional inequality and diverging clubs:A case study of contem-porary China[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2001,29:466~484.
[31]Ying L G.Measuring the spillover effects:Some Chinese evidence[J].Papers in Re-gional Science,2000,79:75~89.
[32]Zhang Q,Felmingham B.The role of FDI,exports and spillover effects in the regionaldevelopment of China[J].Journal of Develop Studies,2002,38(4):157~178.
③根据《中国统计摘要2004》第54页数据计算得到。
⑨见刘文(2004)表2和表3数据。
引用本文
陈安平. 中国地区经济增长溢出效应传输渠道研究[J]. 财经研究, 2005, 31(12): 128–142.
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