服务业的结构和“成本病”的克服——Baumol模型的扩展和实证
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财经研究 2012 年 第 38 卷第 11 期, 页码：28 - 38
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章从生产过程是否可标准化的角度出发,将服务业划分为可标准化服务业和不可标准化服务业两类。根据两类服务业的异质性,文章对Baumol(1967)模型进行了扩展,将服务业的结构问题引入模型,分析了可标准化服务业、不可标准化服务业和工业三者之间的结构对生产率增长的影响。文章还采用1978-2010年中国服务业分行业数据对扩展后的模型进行了实证。结果表明,不可标准化服务业符合Baumol模型的假设,其过度增长会导致"成本病";可标准化服务业不符合Baumol模型的假设,其增长会保证整体经济生产率的可持续增长。因此,服务业规划应重视服务业结构及其异质性对整体经济的影响。
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[3]程大中.中国服务需求弹性的估计:基于Baumol模型的分析[J].南大商学评论,2004,(2):50-71.
[4]程大中.中国服务业存在‘成本病’问题吗[J].财贸经济,2008,(12):109-115.
[5]Baumol W.Macroeconomics of unbalanced growth:The anatomy of urban crisis[J].A-merican Economic Review,1967,57:415-426.
[6]Baumol W,Blackman S,Wolff E.Unbalanced growth revisited:Asymptotic stagnancy and new evidence[J].American Economic Review,1985,75:806-817.
[7]Duarte M,Rwstuccia D.The role of the structure transformation in aggregate productiv-ity[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,2010,125:129-173.
[8]Kongsamut P,Rebelo S,Xie D.Beyond balanced growth[J].Review of Economic Stud-ies,2001,68:869-882.
[9]Murray M.Avoiding invalid instruments and coping with weak instruments[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,2006,20:111-132.
[10]Pugno M.The service paradox and endogenous growth[J].Structural Change and E-conomic Dynamics,January2006,17:99-115.
[11]Rogerson R.Structural transformation and the deterioration of European labor market outcomes[J].Journal of Political Economy,2008,116:235-259.
[12]Vollrath D.How important are dual economy effects for aggregate productivity[J].Journal of Development Economics,2009,88:325-334.
引用本文
李建华, 孙蚌珠. 服务业的结构和“成本病”的克服——Baumol模型的扩展和实证[J]. 财经研究, 2012, 38(11): 28–38.
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