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4909国家领导人之间的访问活动在改善双边关系和处理国际问题等方面有着其他外交方式无法替代的重要作用。文章着眼于整体性和长期性角度，考察国家领导人之间的互访所产生的双边贸易效应，并基于2001−2017年的月度面板数据检验了中国与168个建交国家之间的领导人互访对进出口贸易的影响。研究发现：（1）中国领导人和外国领导人之间的互相访问展现了周边外交和大国外交协调推进的基本格局；（2）中国与贸易伙伴国之间的国家领导人互访活动显著促进了双边出口和进口贸易流量；（3）基于HS商品分类的分析显示，国家领导人互访对出口和进口的影响主要体现在贸易往来中相对弱势的一方，即扩大了非竞争优势产品进入对方市场的贸易机会;（4）基于产品分类和外交特点分组后的分析显示，国家领导人互访对相对弱势产品的贸易促进作用在周边外交和小国外交中更强。上述结论表明，国家领导人之间的互访有助于推动双边经贸往来，体现了外交为经济服务的实际作用以及合作共赢的交往理念。
中外领导人互访与双边贸易——基于月度数据的经验分析
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引用本文
范建亭, 卢波. 中外领导人互访与双边贸易——基于月度数据的经验分析[J]. 财经研究, 2021, 47(3): 155-168.
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