“母市场效应”:来自中国制造业对外贸易面板数据的证据
财经研究 2011 年 第 37 卷第 03 期, 页码:94 - 104
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章通过模型的建构证明了"母市场效应"的存在性。文章采用Bergstrand(1989)的引力模型,考察了中国制造业中出口额较大、出口国较多的HS码共28章产品。通过对各章产品面板数据的回归分析发现,除了陶瓷品外,其余27章产品均存在显著的"母市场效应"。其中钢铁、无机化学和车辆等产品呈现较强的"母市场效应",而纺织品、精密仪器等产品则呈现较弱的"母市场效应"。28章产品中除了陶瓷外其余均为劳动密集型产品,而且绝大部分产品对伙伴国来说为奢侈品。距离、是否接壤和是否有共同语言等变量对中国制造业产品的出口影响并不太显著,对各章产品影响方向也不一致。自由贸易协定对中国制造业产品出口具有显著的促进作用。
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①数据来源于世界贸易组织数据库。
[2]Bergstrand J H.The gravity equation in international trade:Some microeconomic foun-dations and empirical evidence[J].Review of Economics and Statistics,1985,67:474-481.
[3]Bergstrand J H.The generalized gravity equation,monopolistic competition,and the fac-tor-proportions theory in international trade[J].Review of Economics and Statistics,1989,71:143-153.
[4]Davis D,Weinstein D.Economic geography and regional production structure:An em-pirical investigation[J].European Economic Review,1999,43(2):379-407.
[5]Davis D,Weinstein D.Market access,economic geography and comparative advantage:An empirical test[J].Journal of International Economics,2003,59(1):1-23.
[6]Davis D.The home market,trade and industrial structure[J].American Economic Re-view,1998,88(5):1264-1276.
[7]Davis D,Weinstein D.Does economic geography matter for international specialization?[R].NBER Working Papers 5706,1996.
[8]Evenett S,Keller W.On theories explaining the success of the gravity equation[J].Journal of Political Economy,2002,110:281-316.
[9]Feenstra R C,Markusen J R,Rose A K.Using the gravity equation to differentiateamong alternative theories of trade[J].Canadian Journal of Economics,2001,34:430-447.
[10]Hanson G,Xiang C.The home-market effect and bilateral trade patterns[J].Ameri-can Economic Review,2004,94(4):1108-1129.
[11]Head K,Ries J.Increasing returns versus national product differentiation as an expla-nation for the pattern of US-Canada trade[J].American Economic Review,2001,91(4):858-876.
[12]Helpman E,Krugman P.Market structure and foreign trade[M].Cambridge Massa-chusetss:MIT Press,1985.
[13]Krugman P.Increasing returns and economic geography[J].Journal of Political Econo-my,1991,99:483-499.
[14]Krugman P.Intraindustry specialization and the gains from trade[J].Journal of Politi-cal Economy,1981,89(5):959-973.
[15]Krugman P.Scale economies,product differentiation,and the pattern of trade[J].American Economic Review,1980,70(5):950-959.
[16]Krugman P,Venables A J.Globalization and the inequality of nations[J].QuarterlyJournal of Economics,1995,110(4):857-880.
[17]Linder B.An essay on trade and transformation[M].Uppsala:Almqvst and Wiksells,1961.
[18]Melchior A.Market size effects as an explanation of the gravity relationship in interna-tional trade[R].Working Paper,Norwegian Institute of International Affairs,1998.
[19]Rauch J E.Networks versus markets in international trade[J].Journal of internationaleconomics,1999,48:7-35.
[20]Schumacher D.Home market and traditional effects on comparative advantage in agravity approach[R].DIW Berlin Discussion Paper 344,2003.
[21]Weder R.Comparative home-market advantage:An empirical analysis of British andAmerican exports[J].Review of World Economics,2003,139(2):220-247.
①数据来源于世界贸易组织数据库。
引用本文
祁飞, 李慧中. “母市场效应”:来自中国制造业对外贸易面板数据的证据[J]. 财经研究, 2011, 37(3): 94–104.
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