我国积极财政政策的“财政幻觉”分解与计量检验
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财经研究 2004 年 第 30 卷第 12 期, 页码：45 - 53
摘要
参考文献
摘要
在财政支出中,由于公众无法正确识别公共物品价格,可能存在一定程度的"预期幻觉"和"赤字幻觉"。这些"财政幻觉"导致公众低估公共物品价格,从而形成公共物品一定程度上的供给短缺,体现在政府投资需求快速增长,最终影响社会资源的配置效率。实证检验发现,我国经济当中同时存在"预期幻觉"和"赤字幻觉",为此需要适当降低公共物品支出,注重财政支出的产出效果,以增强积极财政政策的乘数效应。
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[3]Ahsan,S.M.,Kwan,A.C.andSahni,B.S.CointegrationandWagner'shypothesis:timeseriesevidenceforCanada[J].AppliedEconomics28,1055～1058,1996.
[4]Ashworth,J.Theempiricalrelationshipbetweenbudgetarydeficitsandgovemmentexpendituregrowth:anexaminationusingcointegration[J].PublicFinance50,1～18,1995.
[5]Bergstrom,T.C.andGoodman,R.P.Privatedemandsforpublicgoods.AmericanEconomicReview[J].63,280～296,1973.
[6]Dollery,B.E.andWoethington,A.C.Theempiricalanalysisoffiscalillusion[J].JournalofEconomicSurveys10,261～297,1996.
[7]Gemmell,N.Wagner'sLaw,relativepricesandthesizeofthepublicsector[J].TheManchesterSchoolofEconomicandSocialStudies58,361～377,1990.
[8]Mills,T.C.TheEconometricModellingofFinancialTimeSeries.Cambridge[M].CambridgeUniversityPress,1999.
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[10]Turnovsky,S.J.MethodsofMacroeconomicDynamics[M].CM:TheMITPress,1996.
引用本文
刘金全, 潘雷, 何筱薇. 我国积极财政政策的“财政幻觉”分解与计量检验[J]. 财经研究, 2004, 30(12): 45–53.
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