“新农保”对农村老年人劳动供给及福利的影响
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财经研究 2015 年 第 41 卷第 08 期, 页码：
摘要
参考文献
摘要
文章基于中国健康与养老追踪调查（CHARLS）的两期面板数据，采用差分－断点方法，系统实证评估了我国“新农保”对农村老年人劳动力供给、消费及主观福利的影响。研究结果显示：（1）“新农保”对农村总消费及耐用品消费增长有正向作用，但统计不显著；对食品、衣着、保健、医疗及其他非耐用品的消费基本没有影响。（2）农村老年人劳动供给决策和劳动供给时间不受“新农保”政策的影响。（3）“新农保”对反映心理健康的抑郁指数没有任何作用。（4）农村男性和女性老年人的劳动供给决策、劳动供给时间及抑郁指数也没有因为"新农保"而产生变化。其原因可能在于“新农保”这种补助强度不大的外部干预政策难以在短期内对老年人的劳动供给及福利产生影响，这也恰恰说明就提高农村老年人的福利而言，“新农保”制度建设仍然任重道远。
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[2]程令国，张晔，刘志彪. “新农保”改变了中国农村居民的养老模式吗？[J]. 经济研究，2013，（8）：42-54.
[3]黄宏伟，展进涛，陈超. “新农保”养老金收入对农村老年人劳动供给的影响[J]. 中国人口科学，2014，（2）：106-115.
[4]张川川，陈斌开. “社会养老”能否替代“家庭养老”？——来自中国新型农村社会养老保险的证据[J].经济研究，2014，（11）：102-115.
[5]Borrella M,Sartarelli M. Does a cash transfer affect elderly labour supply? Evidence from age discontinuities in Bolivia[R]. Working Paper, 2013.
[6]Bosch M,Guajardo J. Labor market impacts of noncontributory pensions：The case of Argentina’s moratorium [R]. Working Paper,2012.
[7]de Carvalho F. Oldage benefits and retirement decisions of rural elderly in Brazil[J]. Journal of Development Economics, 2008, 86(1): 129-146.
[8]de Oliveira P,Kassouf A. Impact evaluation of the Brazilian noncontributory pension program Benefício de Prestao Continuada (BPC) on family welfare[R].Working Paper, 2012.
[9]Dorfman M C，Wang D, O’Keefe P,et al. China’s pension schemes for rural and urban residents[R]. Working Paper, 2013.
[10]Fan E. Who benefits from public old age pensions? Evidence from a targeted program[J].Economic Development and Cultural Change, 2010,58(2):297-322.
[11]Galiani S,Gertler P,Bando R. Noncontributory pensions[R]. Working Paper,2014.
[12]Grembi V, Nannicini T, Troiano U. Do fiscal rules matter? A differenceindiscontinuities design[R].Working Paper,2011.
[13]Imbens G, Kalyanaraman K. Optimal bandwidth choice for the regression discontinuity estimator[R]. Working Paper,2009.
[14]Juarez L. The effect of an oldage demogrant on the labor supply and time use of the elderly and nonelderly in Mexico[J].The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 2010,10(1):1-27.
[15]Kaushal N. How public pension affects elderly labor supply and wellbeing: Evidence from India[J]. World Development , 2014,56: 214-225.
[16]Knabe A, Rtzel S, Schb R,et al. Dissatisfied with life but having a good day: Timeuse and wellbeing of the unemployed[J].The Economic Journal, 2010, 120（547）: 867-889.
[17]Krueger A, Mueller A. The lot of the unemployed: A time use perspective[J]. Journal of the European Economic Association, 2012,10(4):765-794.
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