政府公共投资的经济效应分析
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财经研究 2006 年 第 32 卷第 02 期, 页码：32 - 43
摘要
参考文献
摘要
关于政府公共投资的经济效应,学术界有颇多争论,虽然一系列研究成果发现公共资本与经济增长正相关,但也有一些学者通过研究得出了截然相反的结论。文章运用经济增长理论分析政府公共投资的经济效应,并以中国相关数据为样本进行实证检验,实证检验得出结果:公共投资与产出正相关。在此基础上,文章根据我国目前所处的经济发展阶段,运用计量经济模型,估计出我国当前政府公共投资的最优规模,即公共投资占GDP的合理比重为4.5%,公共投资占财政总支出的合理比重为22%左右。
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[2]Duffy-Deon K T,R W Eberts.Public infrastructure and regional economic develop-ment:A simultaneous approach[R].Working Paper No.8909(Federal Reserve Bank,Cleveland,OH),1989.
[3]Ford R,R Poret.Infrastructure and private sector productivity[R].OECD WorkingPaper No.91,1991.
[4]Aschauer P,J Greenwood.Macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy[J].Carregie-Roches-ter Conference Series on Public Policy,1985,23:91~138.
[5]Arrow Kenneth J.The economic implicatons of learning by doing[J].Review of Eco-nomic Studies,1962,29:73~155.
[6]David Alan Aschauer.The equilibrium approach to fiscal policy[J].Journal of Money,Credit,and Banking,1988,20:41~62.
[7]Barro Robert J.Macroeconomics[M].New York,John Wiley and Sons,1990.
[8]Barro Robert J.Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth[J].Journal of Political Economics,1990,98:103~125.
[9]Etsuro Shioji.Public capital and economic growth:A convergence approach[J].Jour-nal of Economic Growth,2001,6:205~227.
[10]Holtz-Eakin D.Public-sectorrivate capital and the productivity puzzle[J].Review ofEconomic and Statistics,1994,76:12~21.
[11]阿尔弗雷德.格雷纳.财政政策与经济增长[M].北京:经济科学出版社,2000.
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于长革. 政府公共投资的经济效应分析[J]. 财经研究, 2006, 32(2): 32–43.
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