At the beginning of 2022, China’s real economy and financial market fell into a double weakening situation, which made the coordinated governance of “stabilizing macro-economic growth” and “preventing systematic financial risk” become a core issue once again. The key of accurately solving this problem is to clarify the time-varying correlation mechanism between business cycle and financial cycle, as it is not only the basis for understanding the fundamental characteristics and behavioral laws of the macroeconomic and financial system, but also the core and essence of guiding the economy to get rid of the “real to virtual” dilemma in the long term. Therefore, based on the idea of precise measurement and the construction of the economic cycle index and financial cycle index, this paper employs the time-varying
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Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
LiuYuanchun, Editor-in-Chief
ZhengChunrong, Vice Executive Editor-in-Chief
GuoChanglin YanJinqiang WangWenbin WuWenfang, Vice Editor-in-Chief
Time-varying Characteristics and Instability of the Correlation Mechanism between China’s Business Cycle and Financial Cycle: A Re-examination from the Angle of Precise Measurement
Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics Vol. 24, Issue 06, pp. 3 - 17 (2022) DOI:10.16538/j.cnki.jsufe.2022.06.001
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Liu Dayu, Xiang Siyu, Song Yang. Time-varying Characteristics and Instability of the Correlation Mechanism between China’s Business Cycle and Financial Cycle: A Re-examination from the Angle of Precise Measurement[J]. Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, 2022, 24(6): 3-17.
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