房价变化对劳动力就业存在复杂的影响,文章致力于解决如下两个问题:一是我国房价上涨如何影响工业劳动力就业,二是该影响通过何种途径加以传导。文章利用我国全部国有企业及规模以上工业企业数据进行实证研究,结果表明,房价上涨的“需求效应”和“担保效应”超过“挤出效应”,使得工业企业的劳动力就业增加。具体而言,房价每上涨10%,企业雇佣人数将增加约0.5%。文章进一步考察了房价变化对不同产品贸易类型企业劳动力就业的影响,发现房价影响劳动力就业的“需求效应”和“担保效应”都存在,且大小相当。文章的发现有助于全面认识房价变化对我国实体经济的影响,为我国房价调控及促进就业相关政策的讨论提供了实证支持。
房价上涨、产品贸易性与工业就业
摘要
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周华东, 周亚虹, 贺小丹. 房价上涨、产品贸易性与工业就业[J]. 上海财经大学学报, 2019, 21(2): 4-16.
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