人才补贴政策、异质性劳动力流动与经济福利

Talent Subsidy Policy, Heterogeneous Labor Migration, and Economic Welfare

徐邵军,刘修岩

2026 第 28 卷 第 03 期 页码 122-136

DOI: 10.16538/j.cnki.jsufe.2026.03.009

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摘要

如何构建适配不同城市发展禀赋的差异化引才政策,是充分释放劳动力技能红利、优化技能空间配置结构以及加快实现共同富裕亟须解决的重要问题。文章构建了包含异质性劳动力跨地区流动的量化空间一般均衡模型,揭示了城市人才补贴政策对异质性劳动力空间供给弹性和技能空间分布的作用机制,并利用2020年城市数据对理论模型进行拟合,对各城市最优人才补贴比例的制定、不同人才补贴政策方案带来的异质性劳动力福利改善以及技能空间分布和经济增长进行反事实分析。结果表明,劳动力流动对人才补贴的反应存在空间异质性,具体的流动规模、技能结构的空间重置由城市最优发展目标、异质性劳动技能互补共同决定。此外,过度进行全国范围内的人才补贴、“抢人”竞争未必有利于提升劳动力技能的空间配置效率,新一线城市实施人才补贴政策更有利于实现经济增长、异质性劳动力福利的提升以及区域经济协调发展这三个政策目标之间的和谐相融。

Against the backdrop of demographic structural shifts and the diminishing infinite elasticity of labor supply, the intense “talent war” among cities competing for high-skilled labor has escalated. However, decentralized talent subsidy decisions based on local interests often overlook cross-regional externalities and the global efficiency of spatial skill allocation, easily leading to public resource distortion and functional factor misallocation. How to design differentiated talent attraction policies adapted to various city endowments to fully unleash skill dividends and promote coordinated regional development has become a major practical issue. This paper develops a quantitative spatial equilibrium model incorporating cross-regional migration of heterogeneous labor to illuminate how municipal talent subsidies shape the spatial elasticity of heterogeneous labor supply and reconfigure skill distribution. It calibrates the model using 2020 city-level data in China and conducts counterfactual simulations to quantify the optimal talent subsidy rate, the improvement of heterogeneous labor welfare brought by different talent subsidy policy schemes, spatial skill distribution, and economic growth. The results show that labor migration responsiveness to subsidies exhibits significant spatial heterogeneity, jointly determined by municipal development objectives and skill complementarity. Critically, it demonstrates that excessive nationwide subsidy competitions impose net welfare losses by distorting spatial allocation efficiency. Instead, talent subsidies in emerging first-tier cities uniquely achieve synergy among three policy goals: stimulating economic growth, enhancing welfare for both skilled and unskilled workers, and promoting regional convergence, highlighting their pivotal role in efficient spatial policy design. The policy implication is to establish differentiated subsidy strategies matching the city tier. First-tier and new first-tier cities should focus on targeted subsidies to leverage agglomeration spillovers, while third- and fourth-tier cities should avoid blindly imitating high-monetary subsidies and instead enhance city attractiveness by improving infrastructure, increasing urban amenities, and reducing migration barriers to prevent resource misallocation risks.

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